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2020-01-11 18:07  www.ctewgroup.com


Summer sees the news if it doesn't relate to the many emergencies that have taken place in the Middle East for nearly a week, thinking the United States has adjusted its policy towards Iran and softened its position.


But it would be ironic if President Donald Trump had ordered the killing of Iran's top military commander, Suleimani, in a provocative move a few days ago, to look at the words in Kraft's letter –"It is reasonable for the United States to kill Suleimani under Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, and the United States will be prepared to take further action in the region as necessary to protect American interests ".


Surprised, the summer recalled the words of senior White House adviser Kellyanne Conway on Saturday that U.S. President Donald Trump was confident he could still renegotiate a new nuclear deal with Iran.


All right, Mr. President, your "wishful thinking" has once again been revealed – an attempt to force Tehran to do so through military "extreme pressure "– without "exercising the limits "of the economy "that does not change the regime.”


This limiting strategy is intended to warn Iran that even though it has expanded its presence in the Middle East through proxy wars in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen over the past few years, and has succeeded in creating a lot of trouble for the US, the US still has the "kill line "and remains the region's "king power.”


In summer and summer, this strategy - to push opponents to the brink, either to get their opponents down to scratch, or to rip their faces outright - is extremely gambler-minded. Analysts generally believe that Trump's gamble in the Middle East stirred global financial and energy markets, spiralling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the war appeared to be on the brink. As a disincentive to Trump's \"risk-taking\" impulsive move, the House of Representatives on Sept. The resolution calls for Trump to refrain from military action against Iran without congressional approval.


In fact, the US has no intention of going to war with Iran. Mr. Trump is more accurate on the point of \"U.S.-I.A. avoiding a war,\"but Mr. Xia assumed that \"the U.S. could use military pressure to renegotiate a new nuclear deal with Iran,\"which would inevitably be miscalculated.


First, the death of Suleimani will not fundamentally compel Iran, which has shown great resilience in the face of America's extreme pressure and multiple rounds of sanctions, and which, though it cannot directly compete with the United States, has a large network of agents and \"unsymmetrical combat power \"in the Middle East, enough to make America and its Middle East allies less comfortable. Holding back and negotiating a new deal with the US is a flatly unacceptable option for Iraq. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei also made it clear that Iran would not restart nuclear negotiations with \"American enemies,\"or it would fuel US hegemony.


Thirdly, it is argued that the US's venture to kill Sleimani has somewhat enhanced Iran's \"reputation \"and its negotiating position in the face of the US, allowing it to be more assertive in demanding that US troops withdraw from the region. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has stressed that Iran's \"ultimate response\" to the US killing of Sleimani is \"the total removal of American troops \". Just two days after the death of Suleimani, Iraq's parliament passed a \"guest order\" to end the presence of foreign troops. The region has seen a surge of anti-American voices.


People take part in a march to protest the bombing of al-Quds Brigade commander Qasim Suleimani, part of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, in Tehran, Iran, Jan. (Xinhua News Agency)


Finally, and most importantly, the game between nations is different from a business war, not a one-shot deal, and facing more complex and volatile factors; the Trump administration's negotiating strategy is tantamount to dancing on the edge, and the two sides are likely to let the situation in the Middle East turn sharply, or even explode, because of misjudgment or accidental events.


Speaking nationally at the White House on the morning of August 8, after Iran attacked a U.S. military base in Iraq, Trump said he wanted to tell Iranians and Iranian leaders that \"we are ready to embrace peace.\"